Capital in the 21st Century Review: Chapter 4 (part 3 of 3)

slaveryIn the late 18th through the mid-19th Centuries, what distinguished the United States economically from the European powers was the prominence of human slavery.

 

 

 

 

 

In 1800, slavery represented nearly 20% of the population of the United States:  roughly 1 million slaves out of a total population of 5 million.  In the South, where nearly all slaves were held, the proportion reached 40%:  1 million slaves and 1.5 million whites for a total population of 2.5 million…By 180s, the overall proportion of slaves in the overall population had fallen to around 15% (about 4 million slaves in a total population of 30 million), owing to rapid population growth in the North and West.  In the South, however, the proportion remained at 40%. (Page 159)

 

figure 4.10

Continue reading

Video: Berklee Votes

Here’s the video, titled “Berklee Votes”  Hope you like it!  It’s a bit over 4 minutes long, and I’m there in the second half of it, giving the nuts-and-bolts of voting absentee.  It was a great experience to be able to make this, and I only can hope that it will have the intended effect.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yC6T6khz2Ww

Two Berklee Projects

Sorry for falling a bit behind on reviews of Capital in the 21st Century.  I’ve been busy these last couple of months.  One is a video which professor Patricia Peknik (Liberal Arts – History) and myself made all about Berklee students voting and encouraging folks to do so.  It’s not yet visible and I’ll say more about that once it’s up.  I can say that it was far more work than I ever thought it would be–not so much the making of the video, but everything else–getting it funded, getting it hosted somewhere, finding video people, etc.  My dept. chair, Dr. Simone Pilon, was absolutely wonderful and it would not have happened several times over had it not been for her.  However, dealing with the rest of Berklee was like pushing a cart through knee-deep mud, where you’re thinking that aren’t these wheels supposed to make this easier?
The other thing was this event, which happened last week:

Perspectives on Love flyer

Continue reading

Sonnet

 

?

?

Sonnet is the youngest of the lot, just over a year and a half old.

 

She came to us in an unusual way.  Deb and I were at 5 cats, which we considered a good number.  Then an acquaintance who does animal rescue work in the Gulf Coast told us of a litter of 4 mostly-black kittens which were going to be destroyed for lack of homes, and if I didn’t save them nobody would.  So I took it upon myself to find them homes, offering my colleagues at Berklee a $500 donation to the department scholarship fund for each kitten adopted, plus help with their initial medical expenses.  Ultimately, we saved all four, plus two “bonus” kittens!   But finding homes was incredibly hard and initially we were having no success, so I took a kitten in the hope of giving the “kitten drive” some momentum.

002Then when the kittens were delivered, they messed up which one was which, confusing Sonnet with her brother, also a tuxedo who had a white chin rather than a black one.  Here’s an early photo of Sonnet, as we were figuring out that we had the wrong kitten.

However, it worked out for the best! Our friend was supposed to take Sonnet and a different brother (who also ended up with us in a case of mistaken identity), but Sonnet HATED her brother.  So to avoid that match made in Hell, we kept Sonnet while she kept the kitten we were supposed to get, plus got her brother.
Continue reading

Another semester complete; tightening up the “15/40 Rule”

Finished up another semester.  First time in quite some time…ever?…that I taught a full semester and didn’t fail a single student.  Not sure how I feel about that.

People fretted way too much about the 15/40 Rule.  Ironically, it only affected a handful of people, and the ones who were affected only lost a point or two.  So I’m going to tighten it up:  it’ll heretofore be known as The 10/30 Rule.

Overall, it was a fun semester.  One thing to note:  my 3 Economics sections were 1/4, 1/2, and 3/4 Music Business majors (who are required to take the class).  The best section–they asked the most questions, got the most into it, and performed the best–was the one which was 1/2 Music Business majors.  Which pretty much serves as confirmation that the % Music Business majors has nothing to do with how good a class is.

I’ll also declare success on eliminating the Economics midterm.  It made timing less awkward, feed up 2 hours of class time, and allowed for larger, more challenging take-home quizzes during the semester.

Capital in the 21st Century Review: Chapter 4 (part 2 of 3)

Chapter is titled “From Old Europe to the New World.”  It covers the same ground as chapter 3, but looks at major economies other than those of Britain and France.  The first part focused on Germany, which then led to discussion of the collapse of European Capital/Income ratios due to the World Wars.

Part two looks at the United States, Canada, and touches on Net Foreign Capital.

 

figure 4.6

Thomas Piketty points out two things here.  One is that the Capital/Income ratio c. 1800 is far smaller in the United States than in Europe:  around 3 rather than 6 or 7.  — and that much of this difference is explained by the smaller value of agricultural land (around 1x annual income in the United States vs. at least 3x annual income in Britain and France.)  An irony here is the land was so abundant in the United States compared to the Old World that it was dirt cheap, suggesting that real price and value are two different things.

(In economics, we call this the diamond-water paradox, that  something of extremely low value to society can be so highly priced while something essential for life itself can be extremely cheap.)

Thomas Piketty adds that housing and business capital also were lower.  In short, immigrants did not arrive with houses or often even large tools, and it took time to build these up.

The other major difference is that the Capital/Income ratio has been much more stable than it was in Europe.  In Britain and France it stated the 20th Century at 7, fell to under 3, then climbed back up to over 6  Meanwhile, in the United States it started around 5, fell to around 3.8, and climbed back up to a bit above 4.  Quite simply, our country was far less affected by the World Wars, measured as either economic impact of % of the population killed.

WW2 casualties

Note that 5 of the top 6 countries (Belarus, Ukraine, Latvia, Lithuania, “Rest of the USSR”), were all part of the USSR during the decades around World War Two.

Continue reading

Capital in the 21st Century Review: Chapter 4 (part 1 of 3)

Chapter 4 is titled “From Old Europe to the New World.”  It essentially covers the same ground as Chapter 3, which covered Great Britain and France, but looks at three other countries:  Germany, the United States, and Canada.  By examining more than two countries it was easier to grasp which patters are universal versus in which ways have countries genuinely different from one another.

I broke this chapter into two parts.  Each part covers a country and then a new aspect of the capital/income ratio.

Part 1)  Germany and details of the mid-20th Century “shocks” which collapsed the capital/income ratio.

Part 2)  The United States and Canada, plus human slavery and how it affected the capital/income ratio, particularly in the United States.

 

Thomas Piketty Starts by looking at Germany. germany3 (Note:  the graph starts in 1870 rather than 1700 because 1870 is the date of German unification.)

C21c 4.1

The first thing to notice is that the overall evolution is similar (to Britain & France):  first, agricultural land gave way  in the long run to residential and commercial real estate and industrial and financial capital, and second, the capital/income ratio has grown steadily since World War II and appears to be on its way to regaining the level it had attained prior to the shocks of 1914-1945. (page 141)

Continue reading

Report back from the IAES conference (part 5 of 5)

birdThis being my first year as a full-time professor of economics at Berklee, one thing on the to-do list was to attend an economics conference.  I’d attended conferences on other topics, such as a green campus conference this past summer, but this was my first “mainstream” economics conference ever!  So with that in mind, here are this young chick’s thoughts:

 

 

Overall, my impression of this conference wasn’t very good.  I was struck by two things.  One was that “economics” is an extremely broad topic, with enormous diversity on as many dimensions as you care to go.  What happened, then, was that even within the breakout sessions the presenters talks were at most extremely tangentially related to each others, and certainly nobody really had the ability to critique each other’s work.  Particularly when a presenter says essentially “I did years of work on this and here’ what I found.”  This perhaps is the direct cause of my next observation.

There was practically nobody there!

007

The one photo I took of a breakout session room. You only can see some half the room, but this was pretty typical of what things looked like.

The break-out sessions were in rooms that could hold up to about 25.  Every session I went to there would be four people presenting, a fifth person there as “moderator” and then between two and six people (usually 2 or 3), myself included, who were just there to listen.   0

 

Sadly no wide-angle shots or shots looking back, but it was pretty much the same deal all the way back.

The Saturday afternoon Plenary Session/ Sadly no wide-angle shots or shots looking back, but the ratio of chairs:people was pretty much the same throughout the room.

Even the much advertised keynote and plenary sessions, where we all came together, featured a large room with people in under 10% of the seats.  My best estimate was 35-40 people in the audience in a room meant for 500.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

whats-going-onAnyway, all these people presenting to mostly empty rooms felt like an eposide of the Twilight Zone, and had me theorizing several things…

Continue reading

Report back from the IAES Conference (part 4)

Sunday featured two break-out sessions, with no large plenary sessions.

First was a 2-hour session titled “Computable General Equililibrum Models from U.S. Tax Policy Analysis.”

If memory serves me right, one of the four presenters wasn’t there, which meant the others got more time.  Professor Bhattari of the University of Hull (U.K.) presented an analysis claiming that much of the problem with the economies of southern Europe is that many “intermediate goods” (e.g. electricity, which gets used by the private sector to make stuff) are supplied by state-owned companies whose wages are about a third higher than in the private sector, resulting in an oversize intermediate-goods sector.

My attitude toward large theoretical mathematical models that produce all-too-convenient results for the already-wealthy.

My attitude toward large theoretical mathematical models that produce all-too-convenient results for the already-wealthy.

Next was a pretty lame presentation which featured a very theoretical, mathematical model which claimed that, if the corporate income tax rate were reduced by 20% for the next 40ish years, GDP would be about 1% higher.  I asked the presenter why the corporate tax rate matters at all (assuming it’s under, say, 95%), since the goal of a corporation is to maximize profit so that you’ll try to hit the same number even if a fraction gets taxed away.  He replied that a lower corporate tax rate encourages investment in the corporate sector. I found his assumption highly questionable, especially in an economy that has a glut of unused savings, and in which so much corporate cash goes toward stock buybacks.

At the same time, at least the claim was that it would only affect things 1% over 40ish years, which is an effect you could never even notice.  Roughly 0.03%/year is virtually impossible to spot with all the ups and downs.  In addition, we have no clue what great new technologies will come along in the 2020s and 2030s…or how bad the environment will get, how badly resource depletion will bite, etc.  So I suppose the main takeaway from the model is “whatever…don’t bother.”

Continue reading

Parti

Parti and her sister/littermate Rae joined the Block-Schwenk Collective in December 2013.  Unlike our other cats, they were adopted locally through a small no-kill cat rescue group called Whiskers of Hope, which we connnected with via Petfinder, an excellent site used to connect people with animals who need homes.  Also unlike our other cats, we got them as slightly older kittens, a bit over 5 months old rather than 8-11 weeks.

Parti is very much a “gamma”  Unlike other cats we have adopted, including her sister, she hid from me for a couple of months, and still spooks easily–when she’s not demanding attention!  She’s still sensitive, but has become generally happy and very talkative!   Parti particularly loves playing with a laser pointer’s red dot, and also plays with the young one, Sonnet (our sixth cat, who will be featured in the next cat post).

Parti also is very photogenic, especially on Halloween!

Parti with her favorite human.

Parti with her favorite person.

Continue reading